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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">rsp</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Научно-практическая ревматология</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Rheumatology Science and Practice</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1995-4484</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1995-4492</issn><publisher><publisher-name>IMA-PRESS, LLC</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.14412/1995-4484-2019-626-635</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">rsp-2797</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ ИССЛЕДОВАНИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ORIGINAL RESEARCH</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Десятилетняя вероятность переломов по калькулятору FRAX: какой порог вмешательства использовать и как?</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>The ten-year probability of fractures with the FRAX tool: which threshold for intervention to be used and how?</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Лесняк</surname><given-names>О. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Lesnyak</surname><given-names>O. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Ольга Михайловна Лесняк</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Olga Lesnyak</p><p>41, Kirochnaya St., Saint Petersburg 191015; 30, Bolshaya Pod'yacheskaya St., Saint Petersburg 190068</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">olga.m.lesnyak@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Гладкова</surname><given-names>Е. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Gladkova</surname><given-names>E. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>191015, Санкт-Петербург, ул. Кирочная, 41; 190068, Санкт-Петербург, Большая Подьяческая ул., 30</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>41, Kirochnaya St., Saint Petersburg 191015; 30, Bolshaya Pod'yacheskaya St., Saint Petersburg 190068</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ершова</surname><given-names>О. Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ershova</surname><given-names>O. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>150000, Ярославль, Революционная ул., 5</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>5, Revolutsionnaya St., Yaroslavl 150000</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Скрипникова</surname><given-names>И. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Skripnikova</surname><given-names>I. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>10, Petroverigsky Lane, Moscow 101990</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Аношенкова</surname><given-names>О. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Anoshenkova</surname><given-names>O. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>634021, Томск, пр. Фрунзе, 172/3; 634050, Томск, Московский тракт, 2</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>172/3, Frunze Pr., Tomsk 634021; 2, Moskovsky Road, Tomsk 634050</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ахвердян</surname><given-names>Ю. 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Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Belousova</surname><given-names>I. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>357341, Лермонтов, ул. Ленина, 26</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>26, Lenin St., Lermontov 357341</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-6"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Большакова</surname><given-names>Е. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Bolshakova</surname><given-names>E. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>150000, Ярославль, Революционная ул., 5</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>5, Revolutsionnaya St., Yaroslavl 150000</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Древаль</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Dreval</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>129110, Москва, ул. Щепкина, 61/2</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>61/2, Shchepkin St., Moscow 129110</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-7"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Заводовский</surname><given-names>Б. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Zavodovsky</surname><given-names>B. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>400138, Волгоград, ул. им. Землячки, 76</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>76, Zemlyachka St., Volgograd 400138</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-5"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ильин</surname><given-names>М. 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А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Leikauskene</surname><given-names>E. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>656043, Барнаул, проспект Социалистический, 17</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>17, Sotsialistichesky Prospect, Barnaul 656043</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-9"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Леонова</surname><given-names>Н. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Leonova</surname><given-names>N. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>656043, Барнаул, проспект Социалистический, 17</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>17, Sotsialistichesky Prospect, Barnaul 656043</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-9"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Максимова</surname><given-names>Ю. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Maksimova</surname><given-names>Yu. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>634021, Томск, пр. Фрунзе, 172/3</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>172/3, Frunze Pr., Tomsk 634021</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-10"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мягкова</surname><given-names>М. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Myagkova</surname><given-names>M. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>10, Petroverigsky Lane, Moscow 101990</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Новиков</surname><given-names>В. Е.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Novikov</surname><given-names>V. E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>101990, Москва, Петроверигский пер., 10</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>10, Petroverigsky Lane, Moscow 101990</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Нуриев</surname><given-names>А. Р.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Nuriev</surname><given-names>A. R.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>420101, Казань, ул. Хусаина Мавлю-това, 2</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>2, Khusain Mavlyutov St., Kazan 420101</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-8"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Полякова</surname><given-names>Е. Ю.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Polyakova</surname><given-names>E. Yu.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>129110, Москва, ул. Щепкина, 61/2</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>61/2, Shchepkin St., Moscow 129110</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-7"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Полякова</surname><given-names>Ю. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Polyakova</surname><given-names>Yu. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>400138, Волгоград, ул. им. Землячки, 76</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>76, Zemlyachka St., Volgograd 400138</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-5"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сивордова</surname><given-names>Л. Е.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Sivordova</surname><given-names>L. E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>400138, Волгоград, ул. им. Землячки, 76</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>76, Zemlyachka St., Volgograd 400138</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-5"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Тавлуев</surname><given-names>В. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Tavluev</surname><given-names>V. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>634021, Томск, пр. Фрунзе, 172/3</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>172/3, Frunze Pr., Tomsk 634021</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-10"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Шавалиева</surname><given-names>Л. Р.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Shavalieva</surname><given-names>L. R.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>420101, Казань, ул. Хусаина Мавлю-това, 2</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>2, Khusain Mavlyutov St., Kazan 420101</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-8"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФГБОУ ВО «Северо-Западный государственный медицинский университет им. И.И. Мечникова» Минздрава России; СПб ГБУЗ Клиническая ревматологическая больница №25</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Mechnikov NorthWestern State Medical University, Ministry of Health of Russia; Clinical Rheumatology Hospital Twenty-Five</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФГБОУ ВО «Ярославский государственный медицинский университет» Минздрава России</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Yaroslavl State Medical University, Ministry of Health of Russia</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФГБУ «Национальный медицинский центр профилактической медицины» Минздрава России</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>National Medical Center for Preventive Medicine, Ministry of Health of Russia</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-4"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Макс и К, ООО, Медицинский центр «Максимум здоровья»; ФГБОУ ВО «Сибирский государственный медицинский университет» Минздрава России</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Max and K, OOO, Maximum Health Medical Center; Siberian State Medical University, Ministry of Health of Russia</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-5"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФГБНУ Научно-исследовательский институт клинической и экспериментальной ревматологии им. А.Б. Зборовского</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>A.B. Zborovsky Research Institute of Clinical and Experimental Rheumatology</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-6"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Клиническая больница № 101 — филиал ФГБУ «СевероКавказский федеральный научно-клинический центр ФМБА» в г. Лермонтове</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Lermontov Town Clinical Hospital One Hundred and One, Branch of the North Caucasian Federal Research and Clinical Center, Federal Biomedical Agency</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-7"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ГБУЗ МО Московский областной научно-исследовательский клинический институт им. М.Ф. Владимирского</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>M.F. Vladimirsky Moscow Regional Research Clinical Institute</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-8"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>БАРСМЕД, ООО</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>BARSMED, OOO</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-9"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Медицинская многопрофильная клиника “Антуриум”, ООО</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>«Anthurium» Multidisciplinary Medical Clinic, OOO</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-10"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Макс и К, ООО, Медицинский центр «Максимум здоровья»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Max and K, OOO, Maximum Health Medical Center</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2019</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>18</day><month>12</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>57</volume><issue>6</issue><fpage>626</fpage><lpage>635</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Лесняк О.М., Гладкова Е.Н., Ершова О.Б., Скрипникова И.А., Аношенкова О.Н., Ахвердян Ю.Р., Белова К.Ю., Белоусова И.Б., Большакова Е.В., Древаль А.В., Заводовский Б.В., Ильин М.В., Косматова О.В., Крюкова И.В., Латфуллин А.А., Лейкаускене Е.А., Леонова Н.В., Максимова Ю.В., Мягкова М.А., Новиков В.Е., Нуриев А.Р., Полякова Е.Ю., Полякова Ю.В., Сивордова Л.Е., Тавлуев В.А., Шавалиева Л.Р., 2019</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2019</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Лесняк О.М., Гладкова Е.Н., Ершова О.Б., Скрипникова И.А., Аношенкова О.Н., Ахвердян Ю.Р., Белова К.Ю., Белоусова И.Б., Большакова Е.В., Древаль А.В., Заводовский Б.В., Ильин М.В., Косматова О.В., Крюкова И.В., Латфуллин А.А., Лейкаускене Е.А., Леонова Н.В., Максимова Ю.В., Мягкова М.А., Новиков В.Е., Нуриев А.Р., Полякова Е.Ю., Полякова Ю.В., Сивордова Л.Е., Тавлуев В.А., Шавалиева Л.Р.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Lesnyak O.M., Gladkova E.N., Ershova O.B., Skripnikova I.A., Anoshenkova O.N., Akhverdyan Y.R., Belova K.Y., Belousova I.B., Bolshakova E.V., Dreval A.V., Zavodovsky B.V., Ilyin M.V., Kosmatova O.V., Kryukova L.V., Latfullin A.A., Leikauskene E.A., Leonova N.V., Maksimova Y.V., Myagkova M.A., Novikov V.E., Nuriev A.R., Polyakova E.Y., Polyakova Y.V., Sivordova L.E., Tavluev V.A., Shavalieva L.R.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://rsp.mediar-press.net/rsp/article/view/2797">https://rsp.mediar-press.net/rsp/article/view/2797</self-uri><abstract><p>Цель исследования — анализ клинической и организационной целесообразности использования различных порогов вмешательства для российской популяции.</p><sec><title>Материал и методы</title><p>Материал и методы. Расчет вероятности переломов с использованием российской модели FRAX проводился на выборке из 3866 женщин в постменопаузе, жительниц 6 городов Российской Федерации. Были проанализированы различные пороги вмешательства, в том числе фиксированный (20% для основных переломов и 3% для переломов бедра), возраст-зависимые (европейский и российский), а также альтернативные модели. Оценивалась доля женщин, подлежащих терапии, при использовании различных порогов вмешательства.</p></sec><sec><title>Результаты и обсуждение</title><p>Результаты и обсуждение. Анализ эффективности порогов показал, что наименее целесообразным по отношению к сформированной выборке был «европейский порог», поскольку при его использовании лечению подлежало более половины женщин (53,6%), при этом подавляющее большинство пациенток (90%) — младших возрастных групп (50—54 года). Очень похожими между собой оказались результаты анализа эффективности применения фиксированного порога (в контексте рекомендаций Национального фонда остеопороза США — NOF) и возраст-зависимого порога для России (в контексте национальных клинических рекомендаций). Использование подхода NOF в нашей выборке позволило идентифицировать в популяции 47,8% женщин в постменопаузе как подлежащих лечению остеопороза. Их доля увеличивалась с 29,6% в возрасте 50—54 лет до 80,6% в возрасте 85 лет и старше. Альтернативные варианты анализа возраст-зависимых порогов, когда перелом рассматривался не как фактор риска будущих переломов, а как клиническое проявление заболевания, достаточное для того, чтобы пациентке рекомендовать лечение без подсчета FRAX, показали большую эффективность. Однако при их использовании остается недостаточно высокой доля лиц старшего возраста, подлежащих лечению. В связи с этим сохраняется потребность в поиске более адекватного применения существующего порога вмешательства, либо разработки нового, например гибридного, варианта возраст-зависимого порога.</p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><sec><title>Objective</title><p>Objective: to analyze the clinical and organizational feasibility of using different intervention thresholds for the Russian population.</p></sec><sec><title>Subjects and methods</title><p>Subjects and methods. The probability of fractures using the Russian FRAX model was calculated on a sample of 3,866 postmenopausal female residents from 6 cities of the Russian Federation. Different intervention thresholds, including fixed (20% for major fractures and 3% for hip fractures), age-dependent (European and Russian) ones, as well as alternative models, were analyzed. The proportion of women to be treated was estimated using different intervention thresholds.</p></sec><sec><title>Results and discussion</title><p>Results and discussion. The analysis of the effectiveness of the thresholds showed that the European threshold was the least appropriate one for the formed sample, since more than half (53.6%) of the women to be treated using the threshold, while the vast majority (90%) of the patients were in the younger age groups (50—54 years). There were very similar results of the effectiveness analysis of the fixed threshold (according to the USA National Osteoporosis Foundation — NOF) recommendations and that of the age-dependent threshold for Russia (in the context of the national clinical recommendations). Using the NOF approach in our sample could identify 47.8% of the postmenopausal women to be treated for osteoporosis. Their proportion rose from 29.6% of the patients aged 50—54 years to 80.6% of those aged 85 years and older. The alternative analyses of age-dependent thresholds showed great effectiveness when the fracture was considered not as a risk factor for future fractures, but as a clinical disease manifestation that was sufficient to recommend that the patient should be treated without FRAX counting. However, with their use, the proportion of older people to be treated remains not high enough. In this connection, there remains a need to search for the more adequate application of the existing intervention threshold or to develop a new, for example, hybrid variant of the age-dependent threshold.</p></sec></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>остеопороз</kwd><kwd>лечение</kwd><kwd>переломы</kwd><kwd>оценка риска</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>osteoporosis</kwd><kwd>treatment</kwd><kwd>fractures</kwd><kwd>risk assessment</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Assessment of fracture risk and its application to screening for postmenopausal osteoporosis. Report of WHO Study Group. Geneva: World Health Organization; 1994 (WHO Report Series, No. 843).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Assessment of fracture risk and its application to screening for postmenopausal osteoporosis. Report of WHO Study Group. 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